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Asset Allocation/medium risk

Risk Parity

Allocate capital so each asset class contributes equally to portfolio risk, rather than using traditional 60/40 stock/bond splits. Uses leverage on low-volatility assets to balance risk across stocks, bonds, commodities, and inflation-linked securities.

Sharpe 0.7 - 1.3
Drawdown 10 - 20%
Correlation 0.3 - 0.5 to equities
Hold Months (rebalance quarterly)

History

Risk parity was conceptualized by Ray Dalio at Bridgewater Associates in 1996 as the 'All Weather' portfolio, designed to perform in any economic environment. The term 'risk parity' was coined by Edward Qian of PanAgora in 2005. The approach gained massive popularity after the 2008 financial crisis exposed the vulnerability of traditional 60/40 portfolios, which were dominated by equity risk. AQR, Invesco, and many others launched risk parity products. By 2020, risk parity AUM exceeded $200 billion. The strategy came under scrutiny during the March 2020 COVID crash when simultaneous declines in stocks, bonds, and commodities broke the diversification assumption.

How It Works

1.

Identify 3-4 asset classes: equities, government bonds, commodities, inflation-linked bonds

2.

Calculate the volatility (risk) of each asset class using historical or implied measures

3.

Allocate capital inversely proportional to volatility: low-vol assets (bonds) get more capital

4.

Apply leverage to the portfolio so that the total expected return matches a target (e.g., equity-like return with lower volatility)

5.

The key insight: a traditional 60/40 portfolio gets ~90% of its risk from equities. Risk parity rebalances this to 25% from each of 4 asset classes

6.

Rebalance periodically (monthly or quarterly) as volatilities change

Example Trades

Portfolio construction: target 10% annual volatility with equal risk from 4 asset classes

entry 40% in bonds (leveraged 2.5x), 20% equities, 20% commodities, 20% TIPS

exit Quarterly rebalance when risk contributions drift beyond 5% threshold

result ~8-10% annual return with ~10% vol vs 60/40's similar return with 12%+ vol

Equity vol spikes during selloff, breaking risk parity

entry Reduce equity allocation from 20% to 12%, increase bond allocation

exit Hold until next quarterly rebalance

result Portfolio drawdown limited to 60% of equity-only drawdown

Related Charts

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Who Runs This

Bridgewater Associates / Created the concept as 'All Weather'; manages ~$100B+ in risk parity strategies
AQR Capital Management / Runs one of the largest risk parity funds; Cliff Asness has written extensively on the approach
PanAgora / Edward Qian coined the term 'risk parity' in 2005
Invesco / Offers the largest risk parity ETF (RPAR)

When It Works vs. Fails

works

Environments with stable, negative stock-bond correlation. Moderate growth, moderate inflation. Normal credit conditions. Most historical periods since the 1980s.

fails

Stagflation (rising inflation + falling growth) where all traditional assets decline. March 2020 liquidity crisis. Rising rate environments that hurt both stocks and bonds.

Risks

01 Leverage dependency: risk parity requires leverage on bonds/commodities, introducing borrowing costs and liquidation risk

02 March 2020 crisis: simultaneous crashes in stocks, bonds, and commodities broke the diversification assumption

03 Rising interest rates compress bond returns and break the stocks-bonds negative correlation that risk parity relies on

04 Correlated drawdowns across all asset classes during systemic events are the strategy's worst-case scenario

Research

Risk Parity Portfolios: Efficient Portfolios Through True Diversification

Edward Qian, 2005

Leverage Aversion and Risk Parity ↗

Asness, Frazzini, Pedersen, 2012

Risk Parity: Is the Party Over?

Anderson, Bianchi, Goldberg, 2024